منابع مشابه
Incentive-compatible Online Opinion Polls
The basic idea behind such information markets is that the pricing scheme of the market encourages the participants to buy or sell shares in accordance to their private information. Consider, for example, the security that pays $1 if the winner of the 2008 US presidential elections is democrat. An agent who privately believes with probability p that US will have a democrat president in 2008, wi...
متن کاملMA/CS 109 The Art and Science of Quantitative Reasoning Estimation and Confidence: Opinion Polls
As we have noted, statistics is the science of learning from data. One important aspect of such learning is statistical inference, wherein we attempt to draw inferences about characteristics of a population based on a sample from that population. Statistical inference problems may take many forms. For the second week of our statistics module in this class, we will focus on the problem of inferr...
متن کاملThe welfare effects of public opinion polls
This paper presents an experimental study of the effects of polls on voters’ welfare. The analysis shows that polls have a different effect on closely divided and lopsided divided electorates. The data show that in closely divided electorates (and only for these electorates) the provision of information on the voters’ distribution of preferences significantly raises the participation of subject...
متن کاملLong-term data resilience using opinion polls
Opinion Polls can be used as a means to reach weak agreement, an idea introduced by the LOCKSS system [1]. In this paper, we investigate a set of protocols that achieve data resilience for the long-term using a peer-to-peer network, where mutually untrusted peers are loosely organized. Peers use Opinion Polls to heal corrupted copies of data items instead of conventional methods that use consen...
متن کاملEstimating Subnational Opinion with Cluster-Sampled Polls: Challenges and Suggestions
Multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) has become widely used in political science to estimate subnational opinion from national polls. This method takes into account both demographic and state-level effects and has greatly expanded knowledge of public opinion at the subnational level. In this paper, I assess the use of MRP on two cluster-sampled polls, the American National Electi...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Sleep
سال: 2010
ISSN: 1550-9109,0161-8105
DOI: 10.1093/sleep/33.7.865